selected publications
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chapter
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The Atmospheric Response to Realistic Reduced Summer Arctic Sea Ice Anomalies.
Geophysical Monograph.
91-110.
2008
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The Atmospheric Response to Realistic Reduced Summer Arctic Sea Ice Anomalies.
Geophysical Monograph.
91-110.
2008
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conference proceeding
- Broadening the atmospheric bridge paradigm: ENSO teleconnections to the tropical west Pacific-Indian oceans over the seasonal cycle and to the north Pacific in summer. Geophysical Monograph. 85-103. 2002
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Winter-to-winter recurrence of sea surface temperature, salinity and mixed layer depth anomalies.
Progress in Oceanography.
41-61.
2000
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journal article
-
Impact of South Pacific Subtropical Dipole Mode on the Equatorial Pacific.
Journal of Climate.
2197-2216.
2018
-
Climate vulnerability and resilience in the most valuable North American fishery.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
1831-1836.
2018
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Projected sea surface temperatures over the 21st century: Changes in the mean, variability and extremes for large marine ecosystem regions of Northern Oceans.
Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene.
2018
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Impact of Poleward Moisture Transport from the North Pacific on the Acceleration of Sea Ice Loss in the Arctic since 2002.
Journal of Climate.
6757-6769.
2017
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Seasonal trends and phenology shifts in sea surface temperature on the North American northeastern continental shelf.
Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene.
2017
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Emergent anthropogenic trends in California Current upwelling.
Geophysical Research Letters.
5044-5052.
2017
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On the Response of the Aleutian Low to Greenhouse Warming.
Journal of Climate.
3907-3925.
2017
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Managing living marine resources in a dynamic environment: The role of seasonal to decadal climate forecasts.
Progress in Oceanography.
15-49.
2017
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Improved management of small pelagic fisheries through seasonal climate prediction.
Ecological Applications.
378-388.
2017
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The Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Revisited.
Journal of Climate.
4399-4427.
2016
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Response to Comments on "Slow adaptation in the face of rapid warming leads to collapse of the Gulf of Maine cod fishery".
Science.
2016
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Seasonal phytoplankton blooms in the North Atlantic linked to the overwintering strategies of copepods.
Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene.
1-19.
2016
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THE CLIMATE CHANGE WEB PORTAL A System to Access and Display Climate and Earth System Model Output from the CMIP5 Archive.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
523-530.
2016
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Frequency of marine heatwaves in the North Atlantic and North Pacific since 1950.
Geophysical Research Letters.
2069-2076.
2016
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A Vulnerability Assessment of Fish and Invertebrates to Climate Change on the Northeast US Continental Shelf.
PLoS ONE.
2016
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Enhanced warming of the Northwest Atlantic Ocean under climate change.
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans.
118-132.
2016
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ENSO and meridional modes: A null hypothesis for Pacific climate variability.
Geophysical Research Letters.
9440-9448.
2015
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Slow adaptation in the face of rapid warming leads to collapse of the Gulf of Maine cod fishery.
Science.
809-812.
2015
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Seasonal sea surface temperature anomaly prediction for coastal ecosystems.
Progress in Oceanography.
219-236.
2015
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Moisture Pathways into the US Intermountain West Associated with Heavy Winter Precipitation Events*.
Journal of Hydrometeorology.
1184-1206.
2015
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ENSO's Modulation of Water Vapor Transport over the Pacific-North American Region.
Journal of Climate.
3846-3856.
2015
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Investigating the Local Atmospheric Response to a Realistic Shift in the Oyashio Sea Surface Temperature Front.
Journal of Climate.
1126-1147.
2015
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Projected ocean warming creates a conservation challenge for river herring populations.
ICES Journal of Marine Science.
374-387.
2015
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Intensification of decadal and multi-decadal sea level variability in the western tropical Pacific during recent decades.
Climate Dynamics.
1357-1379.
2014
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Optimal growth of Central and East Pacific ENSO events.
Geophysical Research Letters.
4027-4034.
2014
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A low latitude paleoclimate perspective on Atlantic multidecadal variability.
Journal of Marine Systems.
4-13.
2014
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Climate variability during warm and cold phases of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) 1871-2008.
Journal of Marine Systems.
14-26.
2014
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Projecting North American Climate over the Next 50 Years: Uncertainty due to Internal Variability*.
Journal of Climate.
2271-2296.
2014
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Investigating the Role of Ocean-Atmosphere Coupling in the North Pacific Ocean.
Journal of Climate.
592-606.
2014
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Choosing and Using Climate-Change Scenarios for Ecological-Impact Assessments and Conservation Decisions.
Conservation Biology.
1147-1157.
2013
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Greenhouse Gas-Induced Changes in Summer Precipitation over Colorado in NARCCAP Regional Climate Models.
Journal of Climate.
8690-8697.
2013
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Cusk (Brosme brosme) and climate change: assessing the threat to a candidate marine fish species under the US Endangered Species Act.
ICES Journal of Marine Science.
1753-1768.
2012
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ENSO's Impact on the Gap Wind Regions of the Eastern Tropical Pacific Ocean.
Journal of Climate.
3549-3565.
2012
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Enhanced upper ocean stratification with climate change in the CMIP3 models.
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans.
2012
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ENSO and Pacific Decadal Variability in the Community Climate System Model Version 4.
Journal of Climate.
2622-2651.
2012
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Changes in hail and flood risk in high-resolution simulations over Colorado's mountains.
Nature Climate Change.
125-131.
2012
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An empirical model of tropical ocean dynamics.
Climate Dynamics.
1823-1841.
2011
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Natural variation in ENSO flavors.
Geophysical Research Letters.
2011
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On the Persistence of Cold-Season SST Anomalies Associated with the Annular Modes.
Journal of Climate.
2500-2515.
2011
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Influence of the Meridional Shifts of the Kuroshio and the Oyashio Extensions on the Atmospheric Circulation.
Journal of Climate.
762-777.
2011
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On the use of IPCC-class models to assess the impact of climate on Living Marine Resources.
Progress in Oceanography.
1-27.
2011
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The Atmospheric Response to Projected Terrestrial Snow Changes in the Late Twenty-First Century.
Journal of Climate.
6430-6437.
2010
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Central Pacific El Nino and decadal climate change in the North Pacific Ocean.
Nature Geoscience.
762-765.
2010
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Role of the Gulf Stream and Kuroshio-Oyashio Systems in Large-Scale Atmosphere-Ocean Interaction: A Review.
Journal of Climate.
3249-3281.
2010
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Relationship between Precipitation in the Great Plains of the United States and Global SSTs: Insights from the IPCC AR4 Models.
Journal of Climate.
2941-2958.
2010
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The Impact of Extratropical Atmospheric Variability on ENSO: Testing the Seasonal Footprinting Mechanism Using Coupled Model Experiments.
Journal of Climate.
2885-2901.
2010
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Twentieth century tropical sea surface temperature trends revisited.
Geophysical Research Letters.
2010
-
Forecasting the dynamics of a coastal fishery species using a coupled climate-population model.
Ecological Applications.
452-464.
2010
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Sea Surface Temperature Variability: Patterns and Mechanisms.
Annual Review of Marine Science.
115-143.
2010
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Low-frequency variability in the Gulf of Alaska from coarse and eddy-permitting ocean models.
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans.
2009
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The Late Fall Extratropical Response to ENSO: Sensitivity to Coupling and Convection in the Tropical West Pacific.
Journal of Climate.
6101-6118.
2008
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The Role of Ekman Ocean Heat Transport in the Northern Hemisphere Response to ENSO.
Journal of Climate.
5688-5707.
2008
-
The relative importance of tropical variability forced from the North Pacific through ocean pathways.
Climate Dynamics.
315-331.
2008
-
Forecasting Pacific SSTs: Linear inverse model predictions of the PDO.
Journal of Climate.
385-402.
2008
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Investigating the impact of reemerging sea surface temperature anomalies on the winter atmospheric circulation over the North Atlantic.
Journal of Climate.
3510-3526.
2007
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Bottom-up forcing and the decline of Steller sea lions (Eumetopias jubatas) in Alaska: assessing the ocean climate hypothesis.
Fisheries Oceanography.
46-67.
2007
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The impact of cloud radiative feedback, remote ENSO forcing, and entrainment on the persistence of North Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies.
Journal of Climate.
6243-6261.
2006
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Delayed coastal upwelling along the US West Coast in 2005: A historical perspective.
Geophysical Research Letters.
2006
-
Daily to decadal sea surface temperature variability driven by state-dependent stochastic heat fluxes.
Journal of Physical Oceanography.
1940-1958.
2006
-
Effects of Ekman transport on the NAO response to a tropical Atlantic SST anomaly.
Journal of Climate.
4803-4818.
2006
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Estimation of the surface heat flux response to sea surface temperature anomalies over the global oceans.
Journal of Climate.
4582-4599.
2005
-
Anatomy and decadal evolution of the Pacific Subtropical-Tropical Cells (STCs).
Journal of Climate.
3739-3758.
2005
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Interdecadal changes in mesoscale eddy variance in the Gulf of Alaska circulation: Possible implications for the Steller sea lion ecline.
Atmosphere-Ocean.
231-240.
2005
-
Low-frequency pycnocline variability in the northeast Pacific.
Journal of Physical Oceanography.
1403-1420.
2005
-
Surface and subsurface dipole variability in the Indian Ocean and its relation with ENSO.
Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers.
619-635.
2004
-
The atmospheric response to realistic Arctic sea ice anomalies in an AGCM during winter.
Journal of Climate.
890-905.
2004
-
Remote response of the Indian Ocean to interannual SST variations in the tropical Pacific.
Journal of Climate.
362-372.
2004
-
ENSO-forced variability of the Pacific decadal oscillation.
Journal of Climate.
3853-3857.
2003
-
Why are there Rossby wave maxima in the Pacific at 10 degrees S and 13 degrees N?.
Journal of Physical Oceanography.
1549-1563.
2003
-
Potential feedbacks between Pacific Ocean ecosystems and interdecadal climate variations.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
617-633.
2003
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Climate change and amphibian declines: is there a link?.
Diversity and Distributions.
111-121.
2003
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Understanding the persistence of sea surface temperature anomalies in midlatitudes.
Journal of Climate.
57-72.
2003
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On the reemergence of North Atlantic SST anomalies.
Journal of Climate.
2707-2712.
2002
-
The atmospheric bridge: The influence of ENSO teleconnections on air-sea interaction over the global oceans.
Journal of Climate.
2205-2231.
2002
-
Rossby waves in the tropical North Pacific and their role in decadal thermocline variability.
Journal of Physical Oceanography.
3496-3515.
2001
-
Climate variability in regions of amphibian declines.
Conservation Biology.
930-942.
2001
-
Processes that influence sea surface temperature and ocean mixed layer depth variability in a coupled model.
Journal of Geophysical Research.
16823-16842.
2000
-
Evidence for a wind-driven intensification of the Kuroshio Current extension from the 1970s to the 1980s - Reply.
Journal of Climate.
1995-1995.
2000
-
A Linear Diagnosis of the Coupled Extratropical Ocean-Atmosphere System in the GFDL GCM.
Atmospheric Science Letters.
14-25.
2000
-
Net shortwave fluxes over the ocean.
Journal of Physical Oceanography.
3167-3174.
1999
-
The reemergence of SST anomalies in the North Pacific Ocean.
Journal of Climate.
2419-2433.
1999
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Evidence for a wind-driven intensification of the Kuroshio Current extension from the 1970s to the 1980s.
Journal of Climate.
1697-1706.
1999
-
Subduction of decadal North Pacific temperature anomalies: Observations and dynamics.
Journal of Physical Oceanography.
1056-1070.
1999
-
Atmosphere-ocean interaction in the North Atlantic: Near-surface climate variability.
Journal of Climate.
1615-1632.
1998
-
Surface flux variability over the North Pacific and North Atlantic Oceans.
Journal of Climate.
2963-2978.
1997
-
Variability in a mixed layer ocean model driven by Stochastic atmospheric forcing.
Journal of Climate.
2424-2442.
1996
-
Upper-ocean thermal variations in the North Pacific during 1970-1991.
Journal of Climate.
1840-1855.
1996
-
A modeling study of the interannual variability in the wintertime North Atlantic Ocean.
Journal of Climate.
3067-3083.
1995
-
BIENNIAL VARIABILITY IN AN ATMOSPHERIC GENERAL-CIRCULATION MODEL.
Journal of Climate.
431-440.
1995
-
A MECHANISM FOR THE RECURRENCE OF WINTERTIME MIDLATITUDE SST ANOMALIES.
Journal of Physical Oceanography.
122-137.
1995
-
Impact of South Pacific Subtropical Dipole Mode on the Equatorial Pacific.
Journal of Climate.
2197-2216.
2018