The predictability of the magnetosphere and space weather Journal Article uri icon

Overview

abstract

  • Yogi Berra once observed, apparently paraphrasing Niels Bohr, “Prediction is difficult, especially about the future.”Berra's and Bohr's backgrounds, respectively, in baseball and quantum mechanics, probably prejudiced them, since recent studies show that, at least in geophysics, not everything is as difficult to predict as the path of a knuckle ball or an electron through a double slit. Large‐scale magnetospheric activity we believe, is quite predictable, given solar wind conditions. For example, in Figure 1 we show the long‐term variation of radiation belt electrons and the Dst index for approximately the last solar cycle. The long‐term variation of radiation belt electrons and the Dst index provides evidence that radiation belt electrons and geomagnetic activity on average, have a systematic response to the solar wind.

publication date

  • September 16, 2003

has restriction

  • bronze

Date in CU Experts

  • February 17, 2014 2:53 AM

Full Author List

  • Li X; Baker DN; Larson D; Temerin M; Reeves G; Kanekal SG

author count

  • 6

Other Profiles

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 0096-3941

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 2324-9250

Additional Document Info

start page

  • 361

end page

  • 370

volume

  • 84

issue

  • 37