selected publications

• journal article

  • An Evaluation of Extreme Precipitation Forecasts at the Weather Prediction Center between 2012 and 2024.  Weather and Forecasting. 357-380. 2026
  • Analysis of 3 Years of Summertime Extreme Precipitation Forecasts from the High-Resolution Ensemble Forecast System.  Weather and Forecasting. 2111-2136. 2025
  • Warm-Season Extreme Precipitation Forecast Performance in the HREF Means.  Weather and Forecasting. 1787-1803. 2025
  • Improving National Blend of Models Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasts Using Long Time Series of Reforecasts and Precipitation Reanalyses. Part I: Methods.  Monthly Weather Review. 1521-1534. 2023
  • Improving National Blend of Models Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasts Using Long Time Series of Reforecasts and Precipitation Reanalyses. Part II: Results.  Monthly Weather Review. 1535-1550. 2023
  • The Extreme Precipitation Forecast Table: Improving Situational Awareness When Heavy Rain is a Threat.  Journal of Operational Meteorology. 93-104. 2020
  • Simulated Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclone Size and Structure to the Atmospheric Temperature Profile.  Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 4553-4571. 2016