selected publications
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book
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chapter
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journal article
- Evaluating Large‐Storm Dominance in High‐Resolution GCMs and Observations Across the Western Contiguous United States. Earth's Future. 2024
- Storylines for Global Hydrologic Drought Within CMIP6. Earth's Future. 2024
- A New GFSv15 With FV3 Dynamical Core Based Climate Model Large Ensemble and Its Application to Understanding Climate Variability, and Predictability. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 2024
- Why Has the Summertime Central US Warming Hole Not Disappeared?. Journal of Climate. 7319-7336. 2023
- Ensemble of CMIP6 derived reference and potential evapotranspiration with radiative and advective components. Scientific Data. 2023
- A New GFSv15 based Climate Model Large Ensemble and Its Application to Understanding Climate Variability, and Predictability 2023
- When record breaking heat waves should not surprise: skewness, heavy tails and implications for risk assessment 2022
- Development of a Rapid Response Capability to Evaluate Causes of Extreme Temperature and Drought Events in the United States. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. S14-S20. 2022
- Preconditions for extreme wet winters over the contiguous United States. Weather and Climate Extremes. 2021
- Explaining the Spatial Pattern of US Extreme Daily Precipitation Change. Journal of Climate. 2759-2775. 2021
- Projections of Mountain Snowpack Loss for Wolverine Denning Elevations in the Rocky Mountains. Earth's Future. 2020
- Present and Past Sea Surface Temperatures: A Recipe for Better Seasonal Climate Forecasts. Weather and Forecasting. 1221-1234. 2020
- Facility for Weather and Climate Assessments (FACTS) A Community Resource for Assessing Weather and Climate Variability. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. E1214-E1224. 2020
- CLIMATE CHANGE Threatening the vigor of the Colorado River. Science. 1192-1193. 2020
- Causes for the Century-Long Decline in Colorado River Flow. Journal of Climate. 8181-8203. 2019
- Climate Assessments for Local Action. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2147-2152. 2019
- ADVANCING SCIENCE AND SERVICES DURING THE 2015/16 EL NINO The NOAA El Nino Rapid Response Field Campaign. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 975-1002. 2018
- Predictability and Prediction of Southern California Rains during Strong El Nino Events: A Focus on the Failed 2016 Winter Rains. Journal of Climate. 555-574. 2018
- Designing ecological climate change impact assessments to reflect key climatic drivers. Global Change Biology. 2537-2553. 2017
- Drought risk assessment under climate change is sensitive to methodological choices for the estimation of evaporative demand. PLoS One. 2017
- Projected wetland densities under climate change: habitat loss but little geographic shift in conservation strategy. Ecological Applications. 1677-1692. 2016
- Evaluating the Appropriateness of Downscaled Climate Information for Projecting Risks of Salmonella. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2016
- Catchment response to bark beetle outbreak and dust-on-snow in the Colorado Rocky Mountains. Journal of Hydrology. 196-210. 2015
- Filling in the gaps: Inferring spatially distributed precipitation from gauge observations over complex terrain. Water Resources Research. 8589-8610. 2014
- The Practitioner's Dilemma: How to Assess the Credibility of Downscaled Climate Projections. Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union. 424-425. 2013
- Greenhouse Gas-Induced Changes in Summer Precipitation over Colorado in NARCCAP Regional Climate Models. Journal of Climate. 8690-8697. 2013
- High-Resolution Downscaled Simulations of Warm-Season Extreme Precipitation Events in the Colorado Front Range under Past and Future Climates. Journal of Climate. 8671-8689. 2013
- Combined impacts of current and future dust deposition and regional warming on Colorado River Basin snow dynamics and hydrology. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 4401-4413. 2013
- Comparing two methods to estimate the sensitivity of regional climate simulations to tropical SST anomalies. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 2012
- Mid-21st century projections in temperature extremes in the southern Colorado Rocky Mountains from regional climate models. Climate Dynamics. 1823-1840. 2012
- Two Faces of Uncertainty: Climate Science and Water Utility Planning Methods. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management. 389-395. 2012
- Changes in hail and flood risk in high-resolution simulations over Colorado's mountains. Nature Climate Change. 125-131. 2012
- Homogeneity of Gridded Precipitation Datasets for the Colorado River Basin. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 2404-2415. 2010
- Comment on "When will Lake Mead go dry?" by T. P. Barnett and D. W. Pierce. Water Resources Research. 2009
- Water supply risk on the Colorado River: Can management mitigate?. Water Resources Research. 2009
- Comment on "Global warming and United States landfalling hurricanes'' by Chunzai Wang and Sang-Ki Lee. Geophysical Research Letters. 2009
- Rates of thermohaline recovery from freshwater pulses in modern, Last Glacial Maximum, and greenhouse warming climates. Geophysical Research Letters. 2007
- Sensitivity of global warming to the pattern of tropical ocean warming. Climate Dynamics. 483-492. 2006
- Understanding the mid-Holocene climate. Journal of Climate. 2801-2817. 2006
- Tropical climate regimes and global climate sensitivity in a simple setting. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 1226-1240. 2005
- A note on estimating drift and diffusion parameters from timeseries. Physics Letters A: General Physics, Nonlinear Science, Statistical Physics, Atomic, Molecular and Cluster Physics, Plasma and Fluid Physics, Condensed Matter, Cross-disciplinary Physics, Biological Physics, Nanosciences, Quantum Physics. 304-311. 2002
- Global atmospheric sensitivity to tropical SST anomalies throughout the Indo-Pacific basin. Journal of Climate. 3427-3442. 2002
- A Linear Diagnosis of the Coupled Extratropical Ocean-Atmosphere System in the GFDL GCM. Atmospheric Science Letters. 14-25. 2000
- The effect of the 1997/98 El Nino on individual large-scale weather events. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 1399-1411. 1999
- The basic effects of atmosphere-ocean thermal coupling on midlatitude variability. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 477-493. 1998
- Study of the predictability of tropical Pacific SST in a coupled atmosphere-ocean model using singular vector analysis: The role of the annual cycle and the ENSO cycle. Monthly Weather Review. 831-845. 1997