selected publications
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chapter
- A Brief Introduction to El Nino and La Nina. Geophysical Monograph. 53-64. 2010
- El Nino-Southern Oscillation Ocean Dynamics: Simulation by Coupled General Circulation Models. Geophysical Monograph. 105-122. 2010
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conference proceeding
- Variability of the oceanic thermohaline circulation. Les Houches. 449-+. 1997
- Sensitivity of the thermohaline circulation to surface buoyancy forcing in a two-dimensional ocean model. 216-217. 1995
- The variability and stability of the north Atlantic thermohaline circulation due to random forcing. 218-219. 1995
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journal article
- Seasonal Predictability of Bottom Temperatures Along the North American West Coast. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. 2024
- Processes that Contribute to Future South Asian Monsoon Differences in E3SMv2 and CESM2. Geophysical Research Letters. 2024
- Central-Pacific El Niño-Southern Oscillation less predictable under greenhouse warming. Nature Communications. 2024
- Evaluation and Bias Correction of the ERA5 Reanalysis over the United States for Wind and Solar Energy Applications. Energies. 2024
- Future Changes in the Intensity and Duration of Marine Heat and Cold Waves: Insights from Coupled Model Initial-Condition Large Ensembles. Journal of Climate. 1877-1902. 2024
- First International Summer School on Marine Heatwaves. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. E742-E748. 2024
- A Forecast Test for Reducing Dynamical Dimensionality of Model Emulators. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 2024
- Mechanisms of tropical Pacific decadal variability. 754-769. 2023
- Climate Base State Influences on South Asian Monsoon Processes Derived From Analyses of E3SMv2 and CESM2. Geophysical Research Letters. 2023
- A Pacific Tropical Decadal Variability Challenge for Climate Models. Geophysical Research Letters. 2023
- Ensemble Spread Behavior in Coupled Climate Models: Insights From the Energy Exascale Earth System Model Version 1 Large Ensemble. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 2023
- The Pacific Decadal Oscillation modulated marine heatwaves in the Northeast Pacific during past decades. Communications Earth & Environment. 2023
- A survey of coastal conditions around the continental US using a high-resolution ocean reanalysis. Progress in Oceanography. 2023
- The Role of Tropical Atlantic in ENSO Predictability Barrier. Geophysical Research Letters. 2023
- Marine heatwaves need clear definitions so coastal communities can adapt. Nature. 29-32. 2023
- Simplifying climate complexity. Nature Geoscience. 280-281. 2023
- Bottom marine heatwaves along the continental shelves of North America. Nature Communications. 2023
- Decadal Variability of the Pacific Shallow Overturning Circulation and the Role of Local Wind Forcing. Journal of Climate. 1001-1015. 2023
- Modes and Mechanisms of Pacific Decadal-Scale Variability. Annual Review of Marine Science. 249-275. 2023
- North Pacific climate and ecosystem predictability on seasonal to decadal timescales. Frontiers in Marine Science. 2022
- An increase in marine heatwaves without significant changes in surface ocean temperature variability. Nature Communications. 2022
- Predictability and empirical dynamics of fisheries time series in the North Pacific. Frontiers in Marine Science. 2022
- Modulation of ENSO teleconnections over North America by the Pacific decadal oscillation. Environmental Research Letters. 2022
- Forcing for Multidecadal Surface Solar Radiation Trends Over Northern Hemisphere Continents. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 2022
- The Role of Extratropical Pacific in Crossing ENSO Spring Predictability Barrier. Geophysical Research Letters. 2022
- Toward Regional Marine Ecological Forecasting Using Global Climate Model Predictions From Subseasonal to Decadal Timescales: Bottlenecks and Recommendations. Frontiers in Marine Science. 2022
- An Optimal Precursor of Northeast Pacific Marine Heatwaves and Central Pacific El Nino Events. Geophysical Research Letters. 2022
- Removing the Effects of Tropical Dynamics from North Pacific Climate Variability. Journal of Climate. 9249-9265. 2021
- ENSO diversity shows robust decadal variations that must be captured for accurate future projections. Communications Earth & Environment. 2021
- Decadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific: Characteristics, causes, predictability, and prospects. Science. 48-+. 2021
- The role of interannual ENSO events in decadal timescale transitions of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation. Climate Dynamics. 1933-1951. 2021
- The influence of pacific winds on ENSO diversity. Scientific Reports. 2021
- Changing El Nino-Southern Oscillation in a warming climate. 628-644. 2021
- Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales. 340-357. 2021
- Subtropical-tropical pathways of spiciness anomalies and their impact on equatorial Pacific temperature. Climate Dynamics. 1131-1144. 2021
- The Continuum of Northeast Pacific Marine Heatwaves and Their Relationship to the Tropical Pacific. Geophysical Research Letters. 2021
- Are Long-Term Changes in Mixed Layer Depth Influencing North Pacific Marine Heatwaves?. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. S59-S66. 2021
- ENSO and Pacific Decadal Variability in the Community Earth System Model Version 2. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 2020
- How Does El Nino-Southern Oscillation Change Under Global Warming-A First Look at CMIP6. Geophysical Research Letters. 2020
- Enhanced El Nino-Southern Oscillation Variability in Recent Decades. Geophysical Research Letters. 2020
- Seasonal-to-interannual prediction of North American coastal marine ecosystems: Forecast methods, mechanisms of predictability, and priority developments. Progress in Oceanography. 2020
- Atmospheric Convection and Air-Sea Interactions over the Tropical Oceans: Scientific Progress, Challenges, and Opportunities. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. E253-E258. 2020
- Change in strong Eastern Pacific El Nino events dynamics in the warming climate. Climate Dynamics. 901-918. 2020
- Observational Needs Supporting Marine Ecosystems Modeling and Forecasting: From the Global Ocean to Regional and Coastal Systems. Frontiers in Marine Science. 2019
- Composite physical-biological El Nino and La Nina conditions in the California Current System in CESM1-POP2-BEC. Ocean Modelling. 2019
- Predictability of US West Coast Ocean Temperatures is not solely due to ENSO. Scientific Reports. 2019
- Forced changes to twentieth century ENSO diversity in a last Millennium context. Climate Dynamics. 7359-7374. 2019
- Linear or Nonlinear Modeling for ENSO Dynamics?. Atmosphere. 2018
- Estimate of the average timing for strong El Nino events using the recharge oscillator model with a multiplicative perturbation. Chaos: an interdisciplinary journal of nonlinear science. 2018
- The Nature of the Stochastic Wind Forcing of ENSO. Journal of Climate. 8081-8099. 2018
- El Nino-Southern Oscillation complexity. Nature. 535-545. 2018
- Response of O2 and pH to ENSO in the California Current System in a high-resolution global climate model. Ocean Science. 69-86. 2018
- Is El Nino really changing?. Geophysical Research Letters. 8548-8556. 2017
- Relative Contributions of Mean-State Shifts and ENSO-Driven Variability to Precipitation Changes in a Warming Climate. Journal of Climate. 9997-10013. 2015
- Optimal precursors of different types of ENSO events. Geophysical Research Letters. 9952-9960. 2015
- Understanding ENSO Diversity. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 921-938. 2015
- Extreme La Nina events to increase. Nature Climate Change. 100-101. 2015
- Antonietta Capotondi. Oceanography. 76-76. 2014
- ENSO diversity in the NCAR CCSM4 climate model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. 4755-4770. 2013
- Cusk (Brosme brosme) and climate change: assessing the threat to a candidate marine fish species under the US Endangered Species Act. ICES Journal of Marine Science: journal du conseil. 1753-1768. 2012
- Enhanced upper ocean stratification with climate change in the CMIP3 models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. 2012
- ENSO and Pacific Decadal Variability in the Community Climate System Model Version 4. Journal of Climate. 2622-2651. 2012
- Relationship between Precipitation in the Great Plains of the United States and Global SSTs: Insights from the IPCC AR4 Models. Journal of Climate. 2941-2958. 2010
- UNDERSTANDING EL NINO IN OCEAN-ATMOSPHERE GENERAL CIRCULATION MODELS Progress and Challenges. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 325-+. 2009
- Low-frequency variability in the Gulf of Alaska from coarse and eddy-permitting ocean models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. 2009
- Decadal variability in the northeast Pacific in a physical-ecosystem model: Role of mixed layer depth and trophic interactions. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. 2008
- Can the mean structure of the tropical pycnocline affect ENSO period in coupled climate models?. Ocean Modelling. 157-169. 2008
- Bottom-up forcing and the decline of Steller sea lions (Eumetopias jubatas) in Alaska:: assessing the ocean climate hypothesis. Fisheries Oceanography. 46-67. 2007
- Extratropical atmosphere-ocean variability in CCSM3. Journal of Climate. 2496-2525. 2006
- Tropical pacific and Atlantic climate variability in CCSM3. Journal of Climate. 2451-2481. 2006
- Spatial and temporal structure of Tropical Pacific interannual variability in 20th century coupled simulations. Ocean Modelling. 274-298. 2006
- Anatomy and decadal evolution of the Pacific Subtropical-Tropical Cells (STCs). Journal of Climate. 3739-3758. 2005
- Interdecadal changes in mesoscale eddy variance in the Gulf of Alaska circulation: Possible implications for the Steller sea lion ecline. Atmosphere-Ocean. 231-240. 2005
- Low-frequency pycnocline variability in the northeast Pacific. Journal of Physical Oceanography. 1403-1420. 2005
- Why are there Rossby wave maxima in the Pacific at 10°S and 13°N?. Journal of Physical Oceanography. 1549-1563. 2003
- Rossby waves in the tropical North Pacific and their role in decadal thermocline variability. Journal of Physical Oceanography. 3496-3515. 2001
- Oceanic wave dynamics and interdecadal, variability in a climate system model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. 1017-1036. 2000
- Decadal variability in an idealized ocean model and its sensitivity to surface boundary conditions. Journal of Physical Oceanography. 1072-1093. 1997
- Sensitivity of the thermohaline circulation to surface buoyancy forcing in a two-dimensional ocean model. Journal of Physical Oceanography. 1039-1058. 1996
- ASSIMILATION OF ALTIMETER DATA INTO A QUASI-GEOSTROPHIC MODEL OF THE GULF-STREAM SYSTEM .1. DYNAMICAL CONSIDERATIONS. Journal of Physical Oceanography. 1130-1152. 1995
- ASSIMILATION OF ALTIMETER DATA INTO A QUASI-GEOSTROPHIC MODEL OF THE GULF-STREAM SYSTEM .2. ASSIMILATION RESULTS. Journal of Physical Oceanography. 1153-1173. 1995
- ADVANCES IN OCEAN MODELING FOR CLIMATE-CHANGE RESEARCH. Reviews of Geophysics. 1411-1424. 1995
- IMPACT OF THE ALTIMETER ORBIT ON THE REPRODUCTION OF OCEANIC RINGS - APPLICATION TO A REGIONAL MODEL OF THE GULF-STREAM. Oceanologica Acta. 479-490. 1992