selected publications
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conference proceeding
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Change in the tropical Hadley cell since 1950.
85-120.
2002
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Interdecadal change in the Asia-Africa summer monsoon and its associated changes in global atmospheric circulation.
Global and Planetary Change.
171-188.
2000
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Change in the tropical Hadley cell since 1950.
85-120.
2002
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journal article
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Recent High Missouri River Basin Runoff Was Unlikely Caused by Climate Change.
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology.
657-675.
2023
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Water Year 2021 Compound Precipitation and Temperature Extremes in California and Nevada.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
E2905-E2911.
2022
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Diagnosing Hawaii's Recent Drought.
Journal of Climate.
3997-4012.
2022
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Record Low North American Monsoon Rainfall in 2020 Reignites Drought over the American Southwest.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
S26-S32.
2022
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Explaining the Spatial Pattern of US Extreme Daily Precipitation Change.
Journal of Climate.
2759-2775.
2021
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Facility for Weather and Climate Assessments (FACTS) A Community Resource for Assessing Weather and Climate Variability.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
E1214-E1224.
2020
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Tropical Widening From Global Variations to Regional Impacts.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
E897-E904.
2020
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Experiment design of the International CLIVAR C20C+ Detection and Attribution project.
Weather and Climate Extremes.
2019
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Recent Tropical Expansion: Natural Variability or Forced Response?.
Journal of Climate.
1551-1571.
2019
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ANTHROPOGENIC CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE INTENSITY OF THE 2017 UNITED STATES NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS DROUGHT.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
S19-S24.
2019
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On the Time of Emergence of Tropical Width Change.
Journal of Climate.
7225-7236.
2018
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Ship- and island-based soundings from the 2016 El Nino Rapid Response (ENRR) field campaign.
Earth System Science Data.
1165-1183.
2018
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ADVANCING SCIENCE AND SERVICES DURING THE 2015/16 EL NINO The NOAA El Nino Rapid Response Field Campaign.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
975-1002.
2018
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EXTREME CALIFORNIA RAINS DURING WINTER 2015/16: A CHANGE IN EL NINO TELECONNECTION?.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
S49-S53.
2018
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Predictability and Prediction of Southern California Rains during Strong El Nino Events: A Focus on the Failed 2016 Winter Rains.
Journal of Climate.
555-574.
2018
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Climatology and Interannual Variability of Boreal Spring Wet Season Precipitation in the Eastern Horn of Africa and Implications for Its Recent Decline.
Journal of Climate.
3867-3886.
2017
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Identifying the predictable and unpredictable patterns of spring-to-autumn precipitation over eastern China.
Climate Dynamics.
3183-3206.
2017
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Urban warming in the 2013 summer heat wave in eastern China.
Climate Dynamics.
3015-3033.
2017
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Reconciling Theories for Human and Natural Attribution of Recent East Africa Drying.
Journal of Climate.
1939-1957.
2017
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Predictable signals in seasonal mean soil moisture simulated with observation-based atmospheric forcing over China.
Climate Dynamics.
2373-2395.
2016
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Characterizing Recent Trends in U.S. Heavy Precipitation.
Journal of Climate.
2313-2332.
2016
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How Has Human-Induced Climate Change Affected California Drought Risk?.
Journal of Climate.
111-120.
2016
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HOW UNUSUAL WAS THE COLD WINTER OF 2013/14 IN THE UPPER MIDWEST?.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
S10-S14.
2015
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Interannual variability of autumn to spring seasonal precipitation in eastern China.
Climate Dynamics.
253-271.
2015
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Observed and SST-forced multidecadal variability in global land surface air temperature.
Climate Dynamics.
359-369.
2015
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Understanding Recent Eastern Horn of Africa Rainfall Variability and Change.
Journal of Climate.
8630-8645.
2014
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Intensification of decadal and multi-decadal sea level variability in the western tropical Pacific during recent decades.
Climate Dynamics.
1357-1379.
2014
- NORTHEAST COLORADO EXTREME RAINS INTERPRETED IN A CLIMATE CHANGE CONTEXT. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. S15-S18. 2014
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How Fast Are the Tropics Expanding?.
Journal of Climate.
1999-2013.
2014
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THE MAKING OF AN EXTREME EVENT.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
427-440.
2014
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Predictable signals of seasonal precipitation in the Yangtze-Huaihe River Valley.
International Journal of Climatology.
3002-3015.
2013
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Anatomy of an Extreme Event.
Journal of Climate.
2811-2832.
2013
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Is a Transition to Semipermanent Drought Conditions Imminent in the US Great Plains?.
Journal of Climate.
8380-8386.
2012
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Baseline Probabilities for the Seasonal Prediction of Meteorological Drought.
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology.
1222-1237.
2012
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Prospects for Dynamical Prediction of Meteorological Drought.
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology.
1238-1252.
2012
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On the Increased Frequency of Mediterranean Drought.
Journal of Climate.
2146-2161.
2012
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On North American Decadal Climate for 2011-20.
Journal of Climate.
4519-4528.
2011
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Was there a basis for anticipating the 2010 Russian heat wave?.
Geophysical Research Letters.
2011
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Contribution of sea ice loss to Arctic amplification.
Geophysical Research Letters.
2010
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Patterns of Indian Ocean sea-level change in a warming climate.
Nature Geoscience.
546-550.
2010
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Distinct causes for two principal US droughts of the 20th century.
Geophysical Research Letters.
2009
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Modelling the influence of North Atlantic multidecadal warmth on the Indian summer rainfall.
Geophysical Research Letters.
2008
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Explaining the record US warmth of 2006.
Geophysical Research Letters.
2007
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Seasonality in SST-forced atmospheric short-term climate predictability.
Journal of Climate.
3090-3108.
2004
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Recent High Missouri River Basin Runoff Was Unlikely Caused by Climate Change.
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology.
657-675.
2023