selected publications
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book
- Colorado River Basin Climate and Hydrology: State of the Science. Ed. Payton, Elizabeth Ann. 2020
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chapter
- Observations—Hydrology. 154-219. 2020
- Projected Climate Change in the Himalayas during the Twenty-First Century. 51-71. 2020
- Extremes in evaporative demand and their implications for drought and drought monitoring in the 21st Century 2019
- Future Climate: Projected Average. 101-125. 2013
- Long-Term Temperature Trends in the San Juan Mountains. 99-111. 2011
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conference proceeding
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journal article
- Drought as an emergent driver of ecological transformation in the twenty-first century. Bioscience. 524-538. 2024
- Correction to: Drought as an emergent driver of ecological transformation in the twenty-first century. Bioscience. 2024
- Approaches for using CMIP projections in climate model ensembles to address the ‘hot model’ problem 2024
- Scenario-Based Decision Analysis: Integrated scenario planning and structured decision making for resource management under climate change. Biological Conservation. 2023
- Recent and future declines of a historically widespread pollinator linked to climate, land cover, and pesticides. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of USA. 2023
- Demographic uncertainty and disease risk influence climate-informed management of an alpine species. Journal of Wildlife Management. 2022
- Uncertainty, Complexity and Constraints: How Do We Robustly Assess Biological Responses under a Rapidly Changing Climate?. Climate. 2021
- Seasonal to multi-year soil moisture drought forecasting. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 2021
- Navigating Climate Adaptation on Public Lands: How Views on Ecosystem Change and Scale Interact with Management Approaches. Environmental Management (New York): an international journal for decision-makers, scientists and environmental auditors. 614-628. 2020
- Projections of Mountain Snowpack Loss for Wolverine Denning Elevations in the Rocky Mountains. Earth's Future. 2020
- Unfamiliar Territory: Emerging Themes for Ecological Drought Research and Management. One Earth. 337-353. 2020
- Cattle, conservation, and carbon in the western Great Plains. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation. 5A-12A. 2020
- Ecological forecasting—21st century science for 21st century management 2020
- Various measures of potential evapotranspiration have species-specific impact on species distribution models. Ecological Modelling. 2019
- Ecological Water Stress under Projected Climate Change across Hydroclimate Gradients in the North-Central United States. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 2103-2114. 2019
- Evaluating the Utility of Species Distribution Models in Informing Climate Change-Resilient Grassland Restoration Strategy. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution. 2019
- ANTHROPOGENIC CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE INTENSITY OF THE 2017 UNITED STATES NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS DROUGHT. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. S19-S24. 2019
- ADVANCING SCIENCE AND SERVICES DURING THE 2015/16 EL NINO The NOAA El Nino Rapid Response Field Campaign. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 975-1002. 2018
- Anatomy of an interrupted irrigation season: Micro-drought at the Wind River Indian Reservation. Climate Risk Management. 61-82. 2018
- Drought risk assessment under climate change is sensitive to methodological choices for the estimation of evaporative demand. PLoS One. 2017
- Variability in projected elevation dependent warming in boreal midlatitude winter in CMIP5 climate models and its potential drivers. Climate Dynamics. 2115-2122. 2016
- Elevation-dependent warming in mountain regions of the world. Nature Climate Change. 424-430. 2015
- A Satellite View of the Radiative Impact of Clouds on Surface Downward Fluxes in the Tibetan Plateau. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 479-493. 2015
- Comparison of the sensitivity of surface downward longwave radiation to changes in water vapor at two high elevation sites. Environmental Research Letters. 2014
- Sensitivity of downward longwave surface radiation to moisture and cloud changes in a high-elevation region. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 10072-10081. 2013
- Amplified warming projections for high altitude regions of the northern hemisphere mid-latitudes from CMIP5 models. Environmental Research Letters. 2013
- Amplified water vapour feedback at high altitudes during winter. International Journal of Climatology. 897-903. 2013
- Climate change in mountains: a review of elevation-dependent warming and its possible causes. Climatic Change: an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change. 527-547. 2012
- Mid-21st century projections in temperature extremes in the southern Colorado Rocky Mountains from regional climate models. Climate Dynamics. 1823-1840. 2012
- Twentieth Century Temperature Trends in Colorado's San Juan Mountains. Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research. 89-97. 2010
- Silver deprivation limits fecundity and survivability in the freshwater crustacean, Daphnia magna.. Biological Trace Element Research. 44-50. 2008
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scholarly edition